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Ukraine's NATO Membership Could Shift War Dynamics, Suggests Kurt Volker

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Safak Costu
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Ukraine's NATO Membership Could Shift War Dynamics, Suggests Kurt Volker

In the swirling vortex of the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia, a fresh perspective was brought forward by Kurt Volker, who previously held the position of U.S. Special Representative for Ukraine Negotiations. Volker has articulated that a swift inclusion of Ukraine into the NATO alliance could potentially render the continuation of the war pointless for Russian President, Vladimir Putin.

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Changing the Strategic Calculations

Volker's assertion hinges on the fact that Ukraine's membership in NATO would dramatically alter the strategic calculations for Russia. The reason being, Russia would then be faced with the collective defense commitments of NATO members. This move could be a game-changer in the current scenario, altering the dynamics on the ground and influencing Russia's military and geopolitical strategy.

NATO’s Stance Amid Opposition

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NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg has been urging members to persist in backing Ukraine in its fight against Russia's invasion. This plea comes amidst opposition in the United States and Europe for a long-term support plan. However, Stoltenberg points to recent pledges from Germany and the Netherlands, worth 10 billion euros, as proof of NATO's commitment to backing Kyiv.

Ukraine’s NATO Membership: A Controversial Move

The push for Ukraine to join NATO is seen as a controversial move in light of Russia's ongoing war. Yet, Ukrainian officials are expected to ask for a formal invitation when leaders gather in Washington next summer. Despite the Ukrainian counteroffensive stalling, the focus remains on ensuring that the country can endure through the winter, even as the mood surrounding the war turns bleaker.

Disagreements remain among the NATO allies concerning Ukraine's rapid accession to the Alliance due to the stance taken by the US and Germany. The conditions under which Ukraine may join NATO or whether they are a tool to bring Kyiv closer to the Alliance is still under discussion.

As the conflict continues, the suggestion by Volker about Ukraine's expedited membership in NATO could potentially change the dynamics of the war and influence Russia's military strategy. However, the ultimate decision lies in the hands of NATO members, a process that may prove to be difficult given the ongoing circumstances.

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