In a political landscape often marked by predictability, Sweden's recent opinion poll results have broken the mold. The survey, conducted by Indikator Opinion for SR Ekot, reveals that three parties - the Center Party, the Liberals, and the Christian Democrats - are dangerously close to falling below the four percent threshold necessary for representation in the Riksdag (Swedish parliament). The Center Party teeters at 3.8 percent, the Liberals at 3.2 percent, and the Christian Democrats languish at 2.7 percent. Such figures place half of the eight parties in the Riksdag around the precarious four percent barrier with the Green Party just above at 4.3 percent.
Shifting Political Landscape
The gap between the Tidigare coalition and the red-green opposition has seen a decrease for the second consecutive survey. The nine percentage point difference marks a 2.6 percentage point reduction over one month, signaling a potential shift in the Swedish political landscape.
Political Tremors Beyond Borders
Meanwhile, in the Netherlands, the victory of the anti-Islam Party for Freedom (PVV) in the Dutch general election of November 22, 2023, is causing ripples across the European Union. Geert Wilders, famous for his staunch anti-Islam, anti-immigration, and anti-EU stance, now leads the biggest political party in the Netherlands. Winning 37 of the 150 seats in the Dutch lower house, Wilders is poised to shape the nation's political future, despite the anticipated challenges in coalition talks.
Rising Far-right Populism
The rise of nativist far-right populist parties is not confined to the Netherlands. Italy and Hungary, among other European countries, are witnessing a surge in popularity for these groups, reflecting a shift in political sentiment across the continent. The issue of immigration, compounded by economic uncertainties and concerns around public services, is fueling this change. Far-right parties are capitalizing on these anxieties, leading polls in several countries.
Democratic Party's Dilemma
Across the Atlantic, the Democratic Party of the United States finds itself in a precarious situation. Lacking a Plan B if President Joe Biden decides not to pursue his 2024 re-election campaign, the party faces potential internal disarray. Despite weak poll numbers and questions about his age, Biden's intention to seek a second term remains unchanged.